Met Sine Thesis 2013

An article by David Rose appears today in the Mail on Sunday under the title: ‘Global warming stopped 16 years ago, reveals Met Office report quietly released…and here is the chart to prove it’ It is the second article Mr Rose has written which contains some misleading information, after he wrote an article earlier this year on the same theme – you see our response to that one here.

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For example, 1979 to 2011 shows 0.16°C/decade (or 0.15°C/decade in the NCDC dataset, 0.16°C/decade in GISS).

Looking at successive decades over this period, each decade was warmer than the previous – so the 1990s were warmer than the 1980s, and the 2000s were warmer than both.

Q.2 “Second, tell me what this says about the models used by the IPCC and others which have predicted a rise of 0.2 degrees celsius per decade for the 21st century.

I accept that there will always be periods when a rising gradient may be interrupted.

You can see our full response to all of the questions Mr Rose did ask us below: Hi David, Here’s a response to your questions.

I’ve kept them as concise as possible but the issues you raise require considerable explanation.To address some of the points in the article published today: Firstly, the Met Office has not issued a report on this issue.We can only assume the article is referring to the completion of work to update the Had CRUT4 global temperature dataset compiled by ourselves and the University of East Anglia’s Climate Research Unit.Combined, several of these factors could account for some or all of the reduced warming trend seen over the last decade – but this is an area of ongoing research.———– The below graph which shows years ranked in order of global temperature was not included in the response to Mr Rose, but is useful in this context as it illustrates the point made above that eight of the warmest years on record have occurred in the past decade.But this flat period has now gone on for about the same time as the 1980 – 1996 warming.” The models exhibit large variations in the rate of warming from year to year and over a decade, owing to climate variations such as ENSO, the Atlantic Multi-Decadal Oscillation and Pacific Decadal Oscillation. It is not uncommon in the simulations for these periods to last up to 15 years, but longer periods are unlikely.Q.3 “Finally, do these data suggest that factors other than CO2 – such as multi-decadal oceanic cycles – may exert a greater influence on climate than previously realised?On the rain soaked, 262 km, 11th stage of the Giro d’Italia from Lucera to l’Aquila, the entire Liquigas team wore special helmets.The helmets, MET Sine Thesis models with special graphics, are being auctioned now on (Italian) Ebay as a fundraiser for the “Collectivo 99”.Met Sine Thesis Helmet: Famous for its incredible ventilation, gel padding and low contact design, the Sine Thesis continues to be the Helmet of choice for many of the hardest working road riders in pro cycling.The Met Sine Thesis Helmet's Exoskeleton is integrated into the in-moulding process allowing structural performance way beyond established standards.

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